FTC · #14515

THEORY4

Metrics by event

OPRc 31.4 #11/26 avg 30.3

OPR 38.2 #13/26 avg 38.5

Strength 37.0 #7/26 avg 30.2

OPRc 32.6 #15/30 avg 35.4

OPR 30.9 #17/30 avg 42.7

Strength 24.4 #22/30 avg 35.3

+5.0 Inflated

Record inflated by strong alliance partners.

How much of the record reflects context (partners, schedule) rather than the team itself.

CAONMIQ 2025 -6.2 Underrated Luck — record context, not skill Partner -0.6 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule -5.6 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.
CAONBOQ 2025 +18.5 Strongly Inflated Luck — record context, not skill Partner +10.2 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule +8.2 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.