FTC · #22831

THEORY1

Metrics by event

OPRc 22.9 #14/26 avg 30.3

OPR 23.3 #18/26 avg 38.5

Strength 25.7 #13/26 avg 30.2

OPRc 35.9 #13/30 avg 35.4

OPR 26.8 #20/30 avg 42.7

Strength 31.2 #16/30 avg 35.3

+5.3 Inflated

Record inflated by strong alliance partners.

How much of the record reflects context (partners, schedule) rather than the team itself.

CAONMIQ 2025 +1.6 Fair Luck — record context, not skill Partner +4.8 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule -3.2 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.
CAONBOQ 2025 +9.0 Inflated Luck — record context, not skill Partner +4.4 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule +4.6 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.