FTC · #30432

Regression

Metrics by event

OPRc 20.8 #3/10 avg 16.0

OPR 21.4 #3/10 avg 16.9

Strength 19.1 #4/10 avg 15.7

OPRc 30.8 #7/15 avg 27.2

OPR 40.9 #4/15 avg 30.5

Strength 33.5 #6/15 avg 26.9

OPRc 18.7 #12/15 avg 34.4

OPR 16.7 #14/15 avg 36.7

Strength 18.8 #12/15 avg 34.0

OPRc 0.0 #15/15 avg 37.8

OPR -5.8 #15/15 avg 41.5

Strength -4.8 #15/15 avg 37.5

OPRc 16.5 #23/27 avg 47.4

OPR 44.8 #17/27 avg 55.4

Strength -2.4 #26/27 avg 47.2

+5.5 Inflated

Record inflated by an easy schedule.

How much of the record reflects context (partners, schedule) rather than the team itself.

USIASOS 2025 -4.4 Underrated Luck — record context, not skill Partner -6.3 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule +1.8 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.
USILFSM1 2025 -11.1 Strongly Underrated Luck — record context, not skill Partner -8.5 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule -2.6 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.
USILFSM2 2025 +1.7 Fair Luck — record context, not skill Partner +1.8 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule -0.1 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.
USILFSM3 2025 +13.6 Strongly Inflated Luck — record context, not skill Partner +13.3 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule +0.3 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.
USILCSSLT 2025 +27.6 Strongly Inflated Luck — record context, not skill Partner +9.3 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule +18.3 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.