FTC · #30628

CALculated Risk

Metrics by event

OPRc 30.8 #4/10 avg 37.1

OPR 31.4 #4/10 avg 38.7

Strength 26.9 #5/10 avg 37.1

OPRc 48.6 #3/12 avg 33.1

OPR 36.8 #6/12 avg 44.8

Strength 44.8 #4/12 avg 33.1

OPRc 65.4 #4/18 avg 36.7

OPR 67.0 #4/18 avg 41.6

Strength 68.2 #2/18 avg 36.6

OPRc 57.2 #5/24 avg 38.8

OPR 74.0 #6/24 avg 45.2

Strength 61.7 #6/24 avg 38.8

OPRc 55.0 #27/39 avg 73.5

OPR 61.3 #27/39 avg 82.3

Strength 51.5 #30/39 avg 73.5

-9.2 Underrated

Underrated — held back by weak alliance partners.

How much of the record reflects context (partners, schedule) rather than the team itself.

USKYWESTM2 2025 -0.6 Fair Luck — record context, not skill Partner -4.5 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule +3.9 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.
USKYWESTM4 2025 +4.8 Fair Luck — record context, not skill Partner +1.0 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule +3.8 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.
USKYWESTLT 2025 -3.0 Fair Luck — record context, not skill Partner -2.5 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule -0.6 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.
USKYCMP 2025 -20.7 Strongly Underrated Luck — record context, not skill Partner -16.2 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule -4.5 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.
FPECCNTECH 2025 -21.0 Underrated Luck — record context, not skill Partner -24.3 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule +3.3 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.