FTC · #4200

The X-Squared Factor

Metrics by event

OPRc 25.4 #7/10 avg 31.4

OPR 53.7 #2/10 avg 35.3

Strength 20.7 #7/10 avg 31.3

OPRc 13.5 #17/22 avg 33.4

OPR 29.7 #14/22 avg 40.0

Strength 17.5 #16/22 avg 32.6

+6.0 Inflated

Record inflated by strong alliance partners.

How much of the record reflects context (partners, schedule) rather than the team itself.

USDEABS 2025 +12.4 Strongly Inflated Luck — record context, not skill Partner +7.3 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule +5.1 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.
USDECMP 2025 -1.7 Fair Luck — record context, not skill Partner +2.3 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule -4.0 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.